It's been a long time since the last Skins Analysis post, but it's important to go on record with my 2014 predictions before the season begins. Why should you care? First, I base my predictions on objective and careful consideration of available data, and second, I was pretty accurate last year.
Prediction #1. RGIII will be markedly better this year than last.
This may sound obvious, but it's not. Many news outlets -- including the Washington Post, NFL.com, ESPN, and CBS Sports -- have reported that RGIII looks like the second best QB on the Skins. But don't be fooled by pre-season observations. As described below, the best available data suggest that RGIII will look more like his 2012 self.